A slate of recent studies have suggested that a future collapse of the AMOC is likely and potentially even imminent. These studies pinpoint the timing of collapse using a powerful statistical technique known as “Critical Slowing Down,” which has been widely applied to predict tipping points in systems ranging from ecology to financial markets to clinical psychology. However, in a new article in the journal of Geophysical Research Letters, researchers from University of Wisconsin–Madison and University of North Carolina Wilmington argue that Critical Slowing Down may not be as reliable as hoped, and that it may not be possible with current methods to predict whether or when the AMOC will collapse.
Read the full article at: https://www.aos.wisc.edu/news/AMOC_Press-Release/