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2016
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Pedro, J.B., Bostock, H.C., Bitz, C.M., He, F., Vandergoes, M.J., Steig, E.J., Chase, B.M., Krause, C.E., Rasmussen, S.O., Markle, B.R., and Cortese, G. (2016). The spatial extent and dynamics of the Antarctic Cold Reversal. Nature Geoscience, 9, 51-55.
van Tricht, K, S. Lhermitte, J. T. M. Lenaerts, I. V. Gorodetskaya, T. L’Ecuyer, B. Noel, M. R. van den Broeke, D. D. Turner, and N. P. M. van Lipzig, 2016: Clouds enhance Greenland ice sheet meltwater runoff, Nature Communications, 7, doi: 10.1038/ncomms10266.
Christensen, M. W., A. Behrangi, T. L'Ecuyer, N. B. Wood, M. D. Lebsock, and G. L. Stephens, 2016: Arctic Observation and Reanalysis Integrated System: A New Data Product for Validation and Climate Study, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 97, 907-915.
Kay, J., T. L’Ecuyer, H. Chepfer, N. Loeb, A. Morrison, and G. Cesana, 2016, Recent Advances in Arctic Cloud and Climate Research, Curr. Clim. Change Rep. 2, 159-169.
Zimmerman, B., D. Vimont, and P. Block, 2016: Utilizing the State of El Nino/Southern Oscillation as a Means for Season-Ahead Precipitation Predictor Selection, Water Resources Research DOI: 10.1002/2015WR017644.
Zhang, Y., S. Moges, and P. Block, 2016: Optimal Cluster Analysis for Objective Regionalization of Seasonal Precipitation in Regions of High Spatial-Temporal Variability: Application to Western Ethiopia, Journal of Climate DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0582.1.
Su, Z., Ingersoll, A.P., and He, F. (2016). On the abruptness of Bølling-Allerød warming. Journal of Climate 29, 4965-4975.
Goring, S. J.*, Williams, J. W., Mladenoff, D. J., Cogbill, C. V., Record, S., Paciorek, C. J., Jackson, S. J., Dietze, M. C., and McLachlan, J. S. (2016) Novel and lost forests in the upper Midwestern United States, from new estimates of settlement-era composition, stem density, and biomass. PLoS One 11: e0151935.
Notaro, M., Y. Zhong, S. Vavrus, M. Schummer, L. Van Den Elsen, J. Coluccy, and C. Hoving, 2016: Projected influences of changes in weather severity on autumn-winter distributions of dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways during the twenty-first century. Plos One, 11(12), e0167506.
Xu, K., Metzger, S., Desai, A.R., 2017. Upscaling tower-observed turbulent exchange at fine spatio- temporal resolution using environmental response functions. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 232:10-22, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.07.019.
Zimmerman, B., P. J. Block, and D. J. Vimont, 2016: Using ENSO as a means for season-ahead predictor selection. Water Resources Management.
Thomas, E. E. and D. J. Vimont, 2016: Mechanisms of linear and nonlinear Meridional Mode and ENSO interactions. J. Climate.
Newman, M. et al., 2016: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited. J. Climate.
Martinez-Villalobos, C. and D. J. Vimont, 2016: The Role of the Mean State in Meridional Mode Structure and Growth. J. Climate.
Kirchmeier-Young, Megan C., David J. Lorenz, Daniel J. Vimont, 2016: Extreme Event Verification for Probabilistic Downscaling. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.
McKinley, G.A., D.J. Pilcher, A.R. Fay, K. Lindsay, M.C. Long, and N. Lovenduski (2016) Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink, Nature, doi:10.1038/nature16958.
Lovenduski, N., G.A. McKinley, A.R. Fay, K. Lindsay, M.C. Long. (2016) Partitioning uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake projections, Global Biogeochem. Cycles.
Dawson, A., Paciorek, C. J., McLachlan, J. S., Goring, S.*, Williams, J. W., and Jackson, S. T. (2016) Quantifying pollen-vegetation relationships to reconstruct forests using 19th-century forest composition and pollen data. Quaternary Science Reviews. 137: 156-175
Maguire, K. C., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Blois, J. L., Fitzpatrick, M. C., Williams, J. W., Ferrier, S., and Lorenz, D. J. (2016) A controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. 283: 20152817.
Lorenz, D. J., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Blois, J. L., Fitzpatrick, M. C., and Williams, J. W. (2016) Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD. Scientific Data 3:160048.
Paciorek, C. J., Goring, S. J., Thurman, A., Cogbill, C. V., Williams, J. W., Mladenoff, D. J., Peters, J. A., Zhu, J., and McLachlan, J. S. (2016) Statistically-estimated tree composition for the northeastern United States at the time of Euro-American settlement. PLoS 11:e0150087.
Graham, R. W., Belmecheri, S., Choy, K., Culleton, B., Davies, L. J., Froese, D., Heintzman, P. D., Hritz, C., Kapp, J. D., Newsom, L. A., Rawcliffe, R., Saulnier-Talbot, E., Shapiro, B., Wang, Y., Williams, J. W., and Wooller, M. J. (2016) Timing and causes of a middle Holocene mammoth extinction on St. Paul Island, Alaska. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113: 9310-9314.
Ordonez, A., Williams, J. W., and Svenning, J. C. (2016) Climatic novelty, displacement, and divergence: implications for the emergence of novel communities Nature Climate Change 10.1038/nclimate3127
Wen X., Z. Liu, S. Wang, J. Cheng and Jiang Zhu, 2016: Correlation and anti-correlation of the East Asian summer and winter monsoons during the last 21,000 years. Nature Comm., DOI:10.1038/ncomms11999.
Lu, F., Z. Liu, Y. Liu, S. Zhang and R. Jacob, 2016: Understanding extratropical atmospheric control of ENSO using a coupled data assimilation approach. Clim. Dyn., 1-22. Online June 28.
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Liu Huaran, Lu Feiyu, Liu Zhengyu, Liu Yun, and Zhang Shaoqing, 2016: Assimilating 1 atmosphere reanalysis in coupled data assimilation. J. Meteor. Res., 30(4), doi: 2 10.1007/s13351-016-6014-1.
Fan L., S-I Shin, Z. Liu and Q. Liu, 2016: Sensitivity of Asian Summer Monsoon precipitation to Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-2978-x.
Li, S., S. Zhang, Z. Liu, X. Yang, A. Rosati, J-C Golaz and M. Zhao, 2016: The Role of Large-scale Feedbacks in Cumulus Convection Parameter Estimation. J. Climate, 29, 4099-4119, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0117.1.
Yang, H., Zhao, Y. and Z. Liu, 2016: Understanding Bjerknes compensation in atmosphere and ocean heat transports using a coupled box model. J. Clim. 29, 2145-2160. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0281.1.
Cheng, J., Z. Liu, S. Zhang, W. Liu, L. Dong, P. Liu and H. Li, 2016: Interdecadal variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in global warming. PNAS, doi/10.1073/pnas.1519827113
Michels, K.K., Z. Michels, and S.C. Hotchkiss. 2016. Advantages of live microscope video for laboratory and teaching applications. Natural Sciences Education 45:1-5.
Barak, R.S., A.L. Hipp, J. Cavender-Bares, W.D. Pearse, S.C. Hotchkiss, E.A. Lynch, J.C. Callaway, R. Calcote, and D.J. Larkin. 2016. Taking the long view: Integrating recorded, archaeological, paleoecological, and evolutionary data into ecological restoration. International Journal of Plant Sciences. 177(1): 000-000. DOI: 10.1086/683394.
J.-L. F. Li, Wei-Liang Lee, Duane Waliser, Yi-Hui Wang, Jia-Yuh Yu, Xianan Jiang, Tristan L’Ecuyer, Yi-Chun Chen, Terry Kubar, Eric Fetzer, and M. Mahakur, 2016: Considering the radiative effects of snow on tropical Pacific Ocean radiative heating profiles in contemporary GCMs using A-Train observations. J. Geophys. Res., 121.
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Nelson, E. L., T. S. L'Ecuyer, S. M. Saleeby, W. Berg, S. Herbener, and S. C. van den Heever, 2016: Toward an Algorithm for Estimating Latent Heat Release in Warm Rain Systems. J. Atmos. Ocn. Tech., 33, 1309-1329, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-15-0205.1
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Christensen, M. W., A. Behrangi, T. L'Ecuyer, N. B. Wood, M. D. Lebsock, and G. L. Stephens, 2016: Arctic Observation and Reanalysis Integrated System: A New Data Product for Validation and Climate Study. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 907-915
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Kulie, M. S., L. Milani, N. B. Wood, S. A. Tushaus, and T. S. L'Ecuyer, 2016: A Shallow Snowfall Census Using Spaceborne Radar. J. Hydro., 17, 1261-1279.
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Palerme, C., C. Genthon, C. Claud, J. E. Kay, N. B. Wood, and T. L'Ecuyer, 2016: Evaluation of current and projected Antarctic precipitation in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 47.
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Van Tricht, K., S. Lhermitte, J. T. M Lenaerts, I. V. Gorodetskaya, T. L'Ecuyer, B. Noel, M. R. van den Broeke, D. D. Turner, and N. P. M. van Lipzig, 2016: Clouds enhance Greenland ice sheet meltwater runoff. Nature Communications, 7.
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Reis, T. Culver, P. Block, M. McCartney, 2016: Evaluating the impact and uncertainty of reservoir operation for malaria control as climate changes in Ethiopia, Climatic Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1639-8.
Taye, M., T. Tadesse, G. Senay, and P. Block, 2016: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: a Source of Cooperation or Contention?, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000708, 02516001.
Zhang, Y., S. Erkyihun, and P. Block, 2016: Filling the GERD: Evaluating hydroclimatic variability and impoundment strategies on Blue Nile riparian countries, Water International, DOI: 10.1080/02508060.2016.1178467.
Zhang, Y., S. Moges, and P. Block, 2016: Optimal Cluster Analysis for Objective Regionalization of Seasonal Precipitation in Regions of High Spatial-Temporal Variability: Application to Western Ethiopia, Journal of Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0582.1.
Zimmerman, B., D. Vimont, and P. Block, 2016: Utilizing the State of ENSO as a Means for Season-ahead Precipitation Predictor Selection, Water Resources Research, DOI: 10.1002/2015WR017644.
Sultaire, S., J.N. Pauli, K.J. Martin, M.W. Meyer, M. Notaro, and B. Zuckerberg, 2016: Climate change surpasses land use change in the contracting range boundary of a winter-adapted mammal. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 283, 20153104, http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.3104.
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Gorzo, J. M., A. M. Pidgeon, W. E. Thogmartin, A. J. Allstadt, V. C. Radeloff, P. J. Heglund, and S. J. Vavrus, 2016: Using the North American Breeding Bird Survey to assess broad-scale response of the continent’s most imperiled avian community, grassland birds, to weather variability. The Condor, 118:502-512.
Martinuzzi, S., A. J. Allstadt, B. L. Bateman, P. J. Heglund, A. M. Pidgeon, W. E. Thogmartin, S. J. Vavrus, and V. C. Radeloff, 2016: Future frequencies of extreme weather events in National Wildlife Refuges across the conterminous United States. Biological Conservation, doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.07.007
Cattiaux, J., Y. Peings, D. Saint-Martin, N. Trou-Kechout, and S. J. Vavrus, 2016: Sinuosity of midlatitude atmospheric flow in a warming world. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL070309
Zhong, Y., M. Notaro, S. J. Vavrus, and M. J. Foster, 2016: Recent accelerated warming of the Laurentian Great Lakes: Physical drivers. Limnology and Oceanography, doi:10.1002/lno.10331
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Zscheischler, J., Fatichi, S., Wolf, S., Blanken, P., Bohrer, G., Clark, K., Desai, A.R., Hollinger, D., Keenan, T., Novick, K.A., and Seneviratne, S.I., 2016. Short-term favorable weather conditions are an important control of interannual variability in carbon and water fluxes. J. Geophys. Res. - G., 121, doi:10.1002/2016JG003503.
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Wolf, S., Keenan, T.F., Fisher, J.B., Baldocchi, D.D., Desai, A.R., Richardson, A.D., Scott, R.L., Law, B.E., Litvak, M.E., Brunsell, N.A., Peters, W., and van der Laan-Luijkx, I.T., 2016. Warm spring reduced carbon cycle impact of the 2012 US summer drought. Proc. Natl Acad Sci, 113, 5880-5885, doi:10.1073/pnas.1519620113.
Xu, K., Metzger, S., Desai, A.R., 2017. Upscaling tower-observed turbulent exchange at fine spatio- temporal resolution using environmental response functions. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 232:10-22,doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.07.019
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Whitaker, E., Reed, D.E., Desai, A.R., 2016. Lake ice measurements from soil water content reflectometer sensors. Limnology and Oceanography: Methods, 14, 224–230, doi:10.1002/lom3.10083.
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Whelan, M.E., Hilton, T.W., Berry, J.A., Berkelhammer, M., Desai, A.R., and Campbell, J.E., 2016. Carbonyl sulfide exchange in soils for better estimates of ecosystem carbon uptake. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 3711-3726,doi:10.5194/acp-16-3711-2016.
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Desai, A.R., Wohlfahrt, G., Zeeman, M.J., Katata, G., Eugster, W., Montagnani, L., Gianelle, D., Mauder, M., and Schmid., H.-P., 2016. Montane ecosystem productivity responds more to global circulation patterns than climatic trends. Environ. Res. Lett. 11(2):024013 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024013.
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Chu, H., Chen, J., Gottgens, J., Desai, A.R., Ouyang, Z., and Qian, S.S., 2016. Response and biophysical regulation of carbon dioxide fluxes to climate variability and anomaly in contrasting ecosystems in northwestern Ohio, USA. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 220, 50–68, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.01.008.
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Peters, S.E. and M.McClennen. 2016. The Paleobiology Database application programming interface. Paleobiology 42:1-7.
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Nelsen, M.P., B.A. DiMichele, S.E. Peters, C.K. Boyce. 2016. Delayed fungal evolution did not cause the Paleozoic peak in coal production. Proc. Nat. Acad. of Sci. USA.
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Linzmeier, B.J., R. Kozdon, S.E. Peters, J.W. Valley. 2016. Oxygen isotope variability within Nautilus shell growth bands. PLoS One 11(4):e0153890.
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Wyrwoll, K.-H., Wei, J., Lin, Z., Shao, Y., and He, F. (2016). Cold surges and dust events: Establishing the link between the East Asian Winter Monsoon and the Chinese loess record. Quaternary Science Reviews 149, 102-108.
Ruddiman, W.F., Fuller, D.Q., Kutzbach, J.E., Tzedakis, P.C., Kaplan, J.O., Ellis, E.C., Vavrus, S.J., Roberts, C.N., Fyfe, R., He, F., Lemmen, C., and Woodbridge, J. (2016). Late Holocene climate: Natural or Anthropogenic? Reviews of Geophysics 54, 93-118. 10.1002/2015RG000503.
Robertson, D.M., D.A. Saad, D.E. Christiansen, and D.J. Lorenz, 2016. Simulated impacts of climate change on phosphorus loading to Lake Michigan. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 42, 536-548.
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Yan L., Z. Liu, G. Chen, J. E. Kutzbach and X. Liu, 2016: Mechanism of elevation-dependent warming over Tibetan Plateau in quadrupled CO2 experiments. Climate Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-016-1599-z.
Liu, Z., H. Yang, C. He and Y. Zhao, 2016: A theory for Bjerknes compensation: the role of climate feedback. J. Clim., 29, 191-208, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0227.1.
Breeden, M. and G.A. McKinley (2016) Climate impacts on multidecadal pCO2 variability in the North Atlantic: 1948–2009, Biogeosciences, 13, 3387-3396.
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Yu, Y., M. Notaro, O. Kalashnikova, M. Garay (2016). Climatology of summer Shamal wind in the Middle East. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121, 289–305, doi:10.1002/2015JD024063.
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Matthes J. H., Goring S.*, Williams J. W., and Dietze M. C. (2016) Benchmarking historical CMIP5 land-climate feedbacks across the Upper Midwest and Northeastern United States Journal of Geophysical Research. DOI: 10.1002/2015JG003175.