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2015
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Matuss, A., T. S. L’Ecuyer, J. E. Kay, J.-F. Lamarque, and C. Hannay, 2015: The role of clouds in modulating global aerosol direct radiative effects in spaceborne active observations and the Community Earth System Model, J. Climate 28, 2986-3003.
Stephens, G. L. and T. L’Ecuyer, 2015: The Earth’s Energy Balance, Atmospheric Research, 166, 195-203.
Rodell, M., H. K. Beaudoing, T. S. L'Ecuyer, W. S. Olson, J. S. Famiglietti, P. R. Houser, R. Adler, M. Bosilovich, C. A. Clayson, D. Chambers, E. Clark, E. Fetzer, X. Gao, G. Gu, K. Hilburn, G. Hu_man, D. P. Lettenmaier, W. T. Liu, C. A. Schlosser, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, B. Lin, and S. Kato, 2015. The State of the Global Water Cycle at the Start of the 21st Century, J. Climate 28, 8290-8318.
L’Ecuyer, T. S., H. K. Beaudoing, M. Rodell, W. S .Olson, B. Lin, S. Kato, C. A. Clayson, E. F. Wood, S. Famiglietti, P. R. Houser, R. Adler, M. Bosilovich, D. Chambers, E. Clark, E. Fetzer, X. Gao, G. Gu, K. Hilburn, G. Huffman, D. P. Lettenmaier, W. T. Liu, C. A. Schlosser, and J. Sheffield, 2015. The Observed State of Global Energy Balance in the Early 21st Century, J. Climate 28, 8319-8346.
McKinley, G.A., C.A. Carlson, A. Andrews, D. Brown, P. Romero-Lankao, and G. Shrestha (2015) Managing the carbon cycle requires strong science, Eos, 96
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Goring, S., Dawson, A., Simpson, G., Ram, K., Graham, R. W., Grimm, E. C., and Williams, J. W. (2015) neotoma: A Programmatic Interface to the Neotoma Paleoecological Database. Open Quaternary 1:1-17.
Munoz, S.E.*, Gruley, K.E., Massie, A., Fike, D.A., Schroeder, S., & Williams, J.W. (2015) Cahokia’s emergence and decline coincided with shifts of flood frequency on the Mississippi River. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112: 6319-6324.
Maguire, K.C., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Williams, J.W., & Blois, J.L. (2015) Modeling species and community responses to past, present, and future episodes of climatic and ecological change. Annual Review of Ecology and Evolutionary Systematics. 46: 343-368.
Wang, Y.*, Gill, J., Marsicek, J.P., Dierking, A.*, Shuman, B., & Williams, J.W. (2015) Pronounced variations in Fagus grandifolia abundances in the Great Lakes region during the Holocene. The Holocene. DOI: 10.1177/0959683615612586.
Wang, Y.*, Gill, J., Marsicek, J.P., Dierking, A.*, Shuman, B., & Williams, J.W. (2015) Pronounced variations in Fagus grandifolia abundances in the Great Lakes region during the Holocene. The Holocene. DOI: 10.1177/0959683615612586.
Radeloff V. C.†, Williams J. W.†, Bateman B. L., Burke K. D.*, Carter S. K., Childress E. S., Cromwell K., Gratton C., Hasley A. O., Kraemer B. M., Latzka A. W., Marin-Spiotta E., Meine C. D., Munoz S. E.*, Neeson T. M., Pidgeon A. M., Rissman A. R., Rivera R. J., Szymanski L. M., and Usinowicz J. (2015) The rise of novelty in ecosystems. Ecological Applications. 25: 2051-2068.
Liu, W., J. Lu, L. R. Leung, S-P Xie, Z. Liu and J. Zhu, 2015: The de-correlation between westerly winds and westerly-wind-stress over the Southern Ocean during the Last Glacial Maximum. Clim. Dyn., DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2530-4.
Wu, X.R., G. Han, S. Zhang and Z. Liu, 2015: Implementation of a 1-D Enthalpy Sea-Ice Model in a Simple Pycnocline Prediction Model for Sea-Ice Data Assimilation Studies. Adv. Atmos. Sci., doi:10.1007/s00376-015-5099-2.
Lu F., Z. Liu, S. Zhang, Y. Liu and R. Jacob, 2015: Coupled data assimilation using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance: II. A CGCM study. Mon. Wea. Rev, 143, 4645–4659 DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0088.1.
Lu F., Z. Liu, S. Zhang and Y. Liu, 2015: Coupled data assimilation using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance: I. A simple model study. Mon. Wea. Rev, 143, 3823–3837, DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00322.1.
Yang, H., Y. Zhao, Z. Liu, Q. Li, F. He and Q. Zhang, 2015: Heat transport compensation in in atmosphere and ocean in the past 21,000 years. Scientific Report, online Nov. 16, doi:10.1038/srep16661.
Zhu, L., Z. Jiang and Z. Liu, 2015: The impact of spring vegetation on the predictability of summer rainfall in the Yangtze region. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 73, 895-909, doi:10.11676/qxxb2015.063.
Vavrus, S. J., E. Obschering, and J. A. Patz, 2015: Applying climate change science. Chapter 2 in Climate Change and Public Health. Levy, B. and J. A. Patz, eds. Oxford University Press, 448 pp.
Vavrus, S. J., M. Notaro, and D. J. Lorenz. 2015. Interpreting climate model projections of extreme weather events. Weather and Climate Extremes 10: 10-28.
Sun, Y., J. Kutzbach, Z. An, et al. (2015) Astronomical and glacial forcing of East Asian summer monsoon variability. Quat. Sci. Rev. 115:132-142.
Lu F., Z. Liu, S. Zhang, Y. Liu and R. Jacob (2015). Coupled data assimilation using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance: Part II. CGCM applications, Monthly Weather Review, 143(11), 4645-4659. DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0088.1.
Lu F., Z. Liu, S. Zhang and Y. Liu (2015). Coupled data assimilation using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance: Part I. Simple model experiments, Monthly Weather Review, 143(9), 3823-3837. DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00322.1.
Wen N., Z. Liu and Y. Liu (2014). Direct impact of El Nino on East Asian Summer Precipitation in the observation. Clim. Dyn., 44(11-12). DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2605-2.
Wu, X. R., G. Han, S. Zhang and Z. Liu (2015). A Study of the Impact of Parameter Optimization on ENSO Predictability with an Intermediate Coupled Model. Clim. Dyn. DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2608-z.
Zhang Xuefeng, Shaoqing Zhang, Zhengyu Liu, Xinrong Wu, Guijun Han, 2015: Parameter Optimization in an Intermediate Coupled Climate Model with Biased Physics Journal of Climate, 28(3):1227-1247. DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00348.
Nace, T., G. Dwyer, C. Silva, C. Rigsby, D. Hollander, S. Burns, B. Otto-Bliesner, Z. Liu, J. Zhu and P. Baker (2014). The role of North Brazil Current transport in the paleoclimate of Brazilian Nordeste margin and paleoceanography of the western tropical Atlantic during the late Quaternary. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 415, 3-13.
Yu Y., M. Notaro, Z. Liu, F. Wang, F. Alkolibi, E. Fadda and F. Bakhrjy (2015). Climatic controls on the interannual to decadal variability in Saudi Arabian dusk activity: towards the development of a seasonal dust prediction model. . J. Geophys. Res.--Atmos, 120(5):n/a-n/a. DOI:10.1002/2014JD022611. (P2).
Kitchell, J.F., T. Cline, V. Bennington and G.A. McKinley (2015). Challenges of managing invasive sea lamprey in Lake Superior. In Bioeconomics of Invasive Species: Integrating Ecology, Economics, Policy and Management. ed: R. P. Keller, D. M. Lodge, M. A. Lewis, J. F. Shogren. University of Chicago Press.
Walsh, K. J. E., J. L. McBride, P. J. Klotzbach, S. J. Camargo, G. Holland, T. R. Knutson, J. P. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, A. Sobel, and M. Sugi (2015). Tropical cyclones and climate change. WIREs Clim. Change.
Han G., X. Wu, S. Zhang, Z. Liu, I. M. Navon, W. Li (2015). A Study of 4D-Var and EnKF Coupling Parameter-Estimation with a Simple Coupled System. Advances in Meteorology., vol. 2015, Article ID 530764, 16 pages, doi:10.1155/2015/530764.
Jahn, A., K. Lyndsay, X. Giraud, N. Gruber, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, Z. Liu, and E. C. Brady (2015). Carbon isotopes in the ocean model of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) . Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 2419-2434. doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2419-2015.
Lu, Zhengyao, Z. Liu, J. Zhu (2015). Abrupt intensification of ENSO forced by deglacial ice sheet retreat in CCSM3. Clim. Dyn. DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2681-3.
Sun Youbin, John Kutzbach, Zhisheng An, Steven Clemens, Zhengyu Liu, Weiguo Liu, Xiaodog Liu, Zhengguo Shi, Weipeng Zheng, Liangji Liang, Yan Yan and Yin Li (2015). Astronmical and glacial forcing of East Asian summer monsoon variability. Quat. Sci. Rev.,115, 132-142.
Kinney, K.M., J.R. Kellner, G.P. Asner, S. Cordell, O.A. Chadwick, K. Heckman, S. Hotchkiss, M. Jeraj, T. Kennedy-Bowdoin, D.E. Knapp, E.J. Questad, J.M. Thaxton, and F. Trusdell (2015). Primary succession on a Hawaiian dryland chronosequence. PLOS One.
Pilcher, D.J., G.A. McKinley, V. Bennington, H. Bootsma (2015). Physical and biogeochemical mechanisms of internal carbon cycling in Lake Michigan. J. Geophys. Res.
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Lovenduski, N., A.R. Fay, G.A. McKinley (2015). Observing multi-decadal trends in Southern Ocean CO2 uptake: What can we learn from an ocean model?. Global Biogeochem. Cycles.
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Phillips, J., G.A. McKinley, V. Bennington, H. Bootsma, D. Pilcher, R.W. Sterner, N.R. Urban (2015). Evaluating the potential for CO2-induced acidification of the Laurentian Great Lakes. Oceanography 28(2):136–145
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Dave, A., A.D. Barton, M.S. Lozier, and G.A. McKinley (2015) What drives seasonal change in oligotrophic area in the subtropical North Atlantic? J. Geophys. Res. – Oceans.
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Daloz, A. S., S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, J. A. Jonas, D. Kim, T. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, C. M. Patricola, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz, P. L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, and M. Zhao (2015). Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 28, 1333-1361.
Hennon, C. C., K. R. Knapp, C. J. Schreck III, S. E. Stevens, J. P. Kossin, P. W. Thorne, P. A. Hennon, M. J. Kruk, J. Rennie, J.-M. Gadea, M. Striegl, and I. Carley (2015). Cyclone Center: Can citizen scientists improve tropical cyclone intensity records?. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 591-607.
Walsh, K. J. E., S. J. Camargo, G. A. Vecchi, A. S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, Y.-K. Lim, M. Roberts, C. Patricola, E. Scoccimarro, A. H. Sobel, S. Strazzo, G. Villarini, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, J. P. Kossin, T. LaRow, K. Oouchi, S. Schubert, H. Wang, J. Bacmeister, P. Chang, F. Chauvin, C. Jablonowski, A. Kumar, H. Murakami, T. Ose, K. A. Reed, R. Saravanan, Y. Yamada, C. M. Zarzycki, P. L. Vidale, J. A. Jonas and N. Henderson (2015). Hurricanes and climate: the U. S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 997-1017.
Rozoff, C. M., C. S. Velden, J. Kaplan, J. P. Kossin, and A. J. Wimmers (2015). Improvements in the probabilistic prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification resulting from inclusion of passive microwave observations. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1016-1038.
Kossin, J. P. (2015). Hurricane wind-pressure relationship and eyewall replacement cycles. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 177-181.
Kossin, J. P. (2015). Validating atmospheric reanalysis data using tropical cyclones as thermometers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1089–1096.
Kossin, J. P., T. R. Karl, T. R. Knutson, K. A. Emanuel, K. E. Kunkel, and J. J. O'Brien (2015). Reply to 'Comment on "Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms - State of Knowledge"'. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1177–1179.
Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young, David J. Lorenz, and Daniel J. Vimont (2015). Probabilistic downscaling of daily wind speed: application to CMIP5 models. Technical Note.
Shakun, J.D., Clark, P.U., He, F., Lifton, N.A., Liu, Z., and Otto-Bliesner, B.L. (2015). Regional and global forcing of glacier retreat during the last deglaciation. Nature Communications.
Frieler, K., Clark, P.U., He, F., Buizert, C., Reese, R., Ligtenberg, S.R.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Winkelmann, R., and Levermann, A. (2015). Consistent evidence of increasing Antarctic accumulation with warming. Nature Climate Change.
Carmack, E., I. Polyakov, L. Padman, I. Fer, E. Hunke, J. Hutchings, J. Jackson, D. Kelley, R. Kwok, C. Layton, H. Melling, D. Perovich, O. Persson, B. Ruddick, M.-L. Timmermans, J. Toole, T. Ross, S. Vavrus, and P. Winsor (2015). Towards quantifying the increasing role of oceanic heat in sea ice loss in the new Arctic. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00177.1.
Francis, J. A., and S. J. Vavrus (2015). Is the jet stream becoming wavier in response to rapid Arctic warming?. Environmental Research Letters, 10 014005 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014005.
Bateman, B. L., A. M. Pidgeon, V. C. Radeloff, A. J. Allstadt, H. R. Akcakaya, W. E. Thogmartin, S. J. Vavrus, and P. J. Heglund (2015). The importance of range edges for an irruptive species during extreme weather events. Landscape Ecology, 30, 1095-1110.
Mutiibwa, D., S. J. Vavrus, S. A. McAfee, and T. P. Albright (2015). Recent spatiotemporal patterns in temperature extremes across conterminous United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 7378-7392.
C.L. Hoving, and M. Notaro (2015). Ice, snow, and swamp: Managing deer in Michigan's changing climate. Michigan Journal of Sustainability.
Karnauskas, K. B., J. P. Donnelly, H. C. Barkley, and J. E. Martin (2015). Coupling between air travel and climate. Nature Climate Change.
Viskari, T., Hardimann, B., Desai, A.R., and Dietze, M.C. (2015). Model-data assimilation of multiple phenological observations to constrain and predict leaf area index. Ecological Applications, 25, 546–558, doi:10.1890/14-0497.1
Petrescu, A.M., Lohila, A., Tuovinen, J.P., Baldocchi, D.D., Desai, A.R., Roulet, N.T., Vesala, T., et al. (2015). The uncertain climate footprint of wetlands under human pressure. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 112, 4594-4599, doi:10.1073/pnas.1416267112.
Desai, A.R., Xu, K., Tian H., Weishampel, P., Thom, J., Baumann, D., Andrews, A.E., Cook, B.D., King, J.Y., and Kolka, R. (2015). Landscape-level terrestrial methane flux observed from a very tall tower. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 201, 61-75, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.10.017
Martin, J. E. (2015). Contraction of the Northern Hemisphere, lower tropospheric, wintertime cold pool over the last 66 years. Journal of Climate, 28, 3764-3778.
Chu, H., Gottgens, J., Chen, J., Sun, G., Desai, A.R., Ouyang, Z., Shao, C., and Czajkowski, K (2015). Climatic variability, hydrologic anomaly, and methane emission can turn productive freshwater marshes into net carbon sources. Global Change Biology, 21, 1165–1181, doi:10.1111/gcb.12760.
Christian, B.A., Joshi, N.C., Saini, M.J., Mehta, N.K., Goroshi, S., Nidamanuri, R.R., Thenkabail, P., Desai, A.R., and Krishnayya, N.S.R. (2015). Seasonal variations in phenology and productivity of a tropical dry deciduous forest from MODIS and Hyperion. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 214-215, 91-105, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.08.246.
Becknell, J.M., Desai, A.R., Dietze, M.C., Schultz, C.A., Starr, G., Duffy, P.A., Franklin, J.F., Pourmokhtarian, A., Hall, J., Stoy, P.C., Binford, M.W., Boring, L.E., and Stuadhammer, C.L. (2015). Assessing interactions among changing climate, management, and disturbance in forests: A macrosystems approach. Bioscience, 65:263-274, doi:10.1093/biosci/biu234.
Notaro, M., V. Bennington, and S. Vavrus (2015). Dynamically downscaled projections of lake-effect snow in the Great Lakes Basin. Journal of Climate, 28, 1661-1684.