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2012
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Veloz, S. D., J. W. Williams, J. L. Blois, F. He, B. Otto-Bliesner, and Z. Y. Liu (2012), No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late Quaternary: implications for 21st-century predictions by species distribution models, Global Change Biology, 18(5), 1698-1713.
Hurrell, J. W., M. M. Holland, S. Ghan, J. Kay, J.-F. Lamarque, D. Lawrence, K. Lindsay, W. H. Lipscomb, M. Long, N. Mahowald, D. Marsh, R. Neale, P. Rasch, D. Bader, W. D. Collins, P. R. Gent, J. J. Hack, J. Kiehl, P. Kushner, W. G. Large, S. Marshall, S. Vavrus, and M. Vertenstein, 2012: The Community Earth System Model: A framework for collaborative research. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 94, 1339-1360.
Karlin, E.F., S.C. Hotchkiss, S.B. Boles, H.K. Stenøien, K. Hassel, K.I. Flatberg, A.J. Shaw (2012). High genetic diversity in a remote island population system: sans sex. New Phytologist 193(4):1088-1097.
Crausbay, S.D., and S.C. Hotchkiss (2012). Vegetation-pollen relationships at a cloud forest’s upper limit and accuracy of a pollen-based vegetation reconstruction. Review of Paleobotany and Palynology 184:1-13.
Ireland, A.W., R.K. Booth, S.C. Hotchkiss, and J.E. Schmitz (2012). Drought as a trigger for rapid state shifts in kettle ecosystems: implications for ecosystem responses to climate change. Wetlands 32: 989-1000.
McDonald, C.P., V. Bennington, N. Urban and G.A. McKinley (2012). Test-bed calibration of a Lake Superior biogeochemical model. Ecological Modelling 225, 115-126.
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Bennington, V., G.A. McKinley, N. Urban, C. McDonald (2012). Can spatial heterogeneity explain the perceived imbalance in Lake Superior’s carbon budget? A model study. J. Geophys. Res. 117, G03020, 20 PP.
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Notaro, M., and D. Gutzler (2012). Simulated impact of vegetation on climate across the North American monsoon region in CCSM3.5. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0990-0, published.
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Zhengyu Liu (2012). Dynamics of interdecadal climate variability: A historical perspective. Journal of Climate, 25, 1963-1995, published.
Notaro, M., A. Mauss, J.W. Williams (2012). Projected vegetation changes for the American Southwest: Combined dynamical modeling and bioclimatic envelope approach. Ecological Applications, 22, 1365-1388, published.
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Holman, K. D., Gronewold, A. D., Notaro, M., and A. Zarrin (2012). Improving historical precipitation estimates over the Lake Superior basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L03405, doi:10.1029/2011GL050468, published.
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Notaro, M., J. W. Williams, and D. Lorenz (2012). 21st century vegetation and land carbon projections for Wisconsin. Climate Research, 54, 149-165, published.
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Chen G.-S., M. Notaro, Z. Liu, Y. Liu (2012). Simulated local and Remote Biophysical effects of Afforestation over Southeast United States in Boreal Summer. Journal of climate, 25, 4511-4522, published.
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Wyrwoll, K.-H., M. Notaro, and G. Chen (2012). A burning question. Australasian Science, July/August 2012, 23-25, published.
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Gill, Jacquelyn L., J. W. Williams, S. T. Jackson, J. P. Donnelly, G. C. Schellinger (2012). Climate and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: a new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, OH. Quaternary Science Reviews 34: 66-80, published.
Vavrus, S., M. M. Holland, A. Jahn, D. A. Bailey, and B. A. Blazey (2012). 21st-century Arctic climate change in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 25, 2696-2710, published.
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de Boer, G., W. Chapman, J. Kay, B. Medeiros, M. D. Shupe, S. Vavrus, and J. Walsh (2012). A characterization of the present-day Arctic atmosphere in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 25, 2676-2695, published.
Hibler, W.D., and S. Vavrus (2012). Pre-Industrial multiple equilibrium sea ice flow states due to plastic ice mechanics. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 76, 92-106, published.
Liu, Y., J. R. Key, Z. Liu, X. Wang, and S. J. Vavrus (2012). A cloudier Arctic expected with diminished sea ice. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L05705, doi:10.1029/2012GL051251, published.
Francis, J. A., and S. J. Vavrus (2012). Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06801, doi:10.1029/2012GL051000, published.
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Goring, S.J., Williams, J.W., Blois, J.L., Jackson, S.T., Paciorek, C.J., Booth, R.K., Marlon, J.R., Blaauw, M. and J.A. Christen (2012). Deposition times in the northeastern United States during the Holocene: establishing valid priors for Bayesian age models. Quaternary Science Reviews 48: 54-60, published.
Gill, J.L., Blois, J.L., Goring, S., Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J., Nicoll, K., Scott, A.C., and C. Whitlock (in press). Letter to the Editor: Paleoecological changes at Lake Cuitzeo were not consistent with an extraterrestrial impact. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences., published.
Blois, J.L. (2012). Recent advances in using species distributional models to understand past distributions. Frontiers of Biogeography 3(4): 123-124, published.
Shakun, J. D., P. U. Clark, F. He, S. A. Marcott, A. C. Mix, Z. Liu, B. Otto-Bliesner, A. Schmittner, and E. Bard (2012). Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation. Nature, 484(7392), 49-54., published.
Bagley, J.E., Desai, A.R., Dirmeyer, P., and Foley, J.A (2012). Effects of land cover change on precipitation and crop yield in the world\'s breadbaskets. Environmental Research Letters, 7, 014009, published.
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Brooks, B.J., Desai, A.R., Stephens, B.B., Bowling, D., Burns, S.P., Watt, A., Heck, S.L., and Sweeney, C. (2012). Assessing filtering of mountaintop CO2 mixing ratios for application to inverse models of biosphere-atmosphere carbon exchange. Atmos. Chem Phys., 12, 2099-2115, doi:10.5194/acp-12-2099-2012, published.
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Keppel-Aleks, G., Wennberg, P.O., Washenfelder, R.A., Wunch, D., Schneider, T., Toon, G.C., Andres, R., Blavier, J.-F., Connor, B., Davis, K.J., Desai, A.R., Messerschmidt, J., Notholt, J., Roehl, C.M., Sherlock, V., Stephens, B.B., Vay, S.A., and Wofsy, S.C. (2012). The imprint of surface fluxes and transport on variations in total column carbon dioxide. Biogeosciences 9, 875-891, doi:10.5194/bg-9-875-2012, published.
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Sulman, B.N., Desai, A.R., Schroeder, N.M., Ricciuto, D.M., Barr, A., Richardson, A.D., Flanagan, L.B., LaFleur , P.M., Tian, H., Chen, G., Grant, R.F., Poulter, B., Verbeeck, H., Ciais, P., Ringeval, B., Baker, I.T., Schaefer, K., Luo, Y., and Weng, E., (2012). Impact of hydrological variations on modeling of peatland CO2 fluxes: results from the North American Carbon Program site synthesis.. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 117, G01031, doi:10.1029/2011JG001862, published.
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Richardson, A.R., Anderson, R.S., Altaf Arain, M., Barr, A.G., Bohrer, G., Chen, G., Chen, J.M., Ciais, P., Davis, K.J., Desai, A.R., Dietze, M.C., Dragoni, D., Garrity, S., Gough, C.M., Grant, R., Hollinger, D.Y., Margolis, H.A., McCaughey , H., Migliavacca, M., Monson, R.K., Munger, J.W., Poulter, B., Raczka, B.M., Ricciuto, D.M., Sahoo, A., Schaefer, K., Tian, H., Vargas, R., Verbeeck, H., Xiao, J., and Xue, Y. (2012). Terrestrial biosphere models need better representation of vegetation phenology: results from the North American Carbon Program Site Synthesis. Global Change Biology, 18(2), 566-584, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02562.x, published.
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Barnosky A. D., E. A. Hadly, J. Bascompte, E. L. Berlow, J. H. Brown, M. Fortelius, W. M. Getz, J. Harte, A. Hastings, P. A. Marquet, N. D. Martinez, A. Mooers, P. Roopnarine, G. Vermeij, J. W. Williams, R. Gillespie, J. Kitzes, C. Marshall, N. Matzke, D. P. Mindell, E. Revilla, and A. B. Smith (2012). Approaching a state-shift in Earth\'s biosphere. Nature, 486, 52-58, published.
Williams J. W., Kharouba H. M., Veloz S., Vellend M., McLachlan J. S., Liu Z., Otto-Bliesner B., and He F. (2012). The Ice Age Ecologist: Testing methods for reserve prioritization during the last global warming. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 22, 289-301. DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2012.00760.x, published.
Schwartz M. W., J. J. Hellman, J. S. McLachlan, D. F. Sax, J. O. Borevitz, J. Brennan, A. E. Camacho, G. Ceballos, J. R. Clark, H. Doremus, R. I. Early, J. R. Etterson, D. Fielder, J. L. Gill, P. Gonzalez, N. Green, L. Hannah, D. W. Jamieson, D. Javeline, B. A. Minteer, J. Odenbaugh, S. Polasky, D. M. Richardson, T. L. Root, H. D. Safford, O. Sala, S. H. Schneider, A. R. Thompson, J. W. Williams, M. Vellend, P. Vitt, and S. Zellmer (2012). Managed relocation: Integrating the scientific, regulatory, and ethical challenges. Bioscience, 62, 732-743, published.
Brewer S., S. T. Jackson, and J. W. Williams (2012). Paleoecoinformatics: Applying geohistorical data to ecological questions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 27, 104-112, published.
Crausbay, S.D., and S.C. Hotchkiss (2012). Vegetation-pollen relationships at a tropical cloud forest\'s upper limit and accuracy of vegetation inference. Review of Paleobotany and Palynology, published.
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Kellner, J.R., G.P. Asner, P.M. Vitousek, M.A. Tweiten, S.C. Hotchkiss, O.A. Chadwick (2012). Dependence of forest structure and dynamics on substrate age and ecosystem development. Ecosystems, published.
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Karlin, E.F., S.C. Hotchkiss, S.B. Boles, H.K. Stenoien, K. Hassel, K.I. Flatberg, and A.J. Shaw (2012). High genetic diversity in a remote island population system: sans sex. New Phytologist, published.
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Carlson, A.E., and Winsor, K. (2012). Northern Hemisphere ice-sheet responses to past climate warming. Nature Geoscience, published.
Hoffman, J.S., Carlson, A.E., Winsor, K., Klinkhammer, G.P., LeGrande, A.N., Andrews, J.T., and Strasser, J.C. (2012). Linking the 8.2 ka event and its freshwater forcing in the Labrador Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2012GL053047, published.
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Liu, Z., Carlson, A.E., He, F., Brady, E.C., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Briegleb, B.P., Wehrenberg, M., Clark, P.U., Wu, S., Cheng, J., Zhang, J., Noone, D ., and Zhu, J. (2012). Younger Dryas Cooling and the Greenland Climate Response to CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1202183109, published.
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Murray, D.S., Carlson, A.E., Singer, B.S., Anslow, F.S., He, F., Caffee, M., Marcott, S.A., Liu, Z., and Otto-Bliesner, B.L. (2012). Northern Hemisphere forcing of the last deglaciation in southern Patagonia. Geology, v. 40, p. 631-634, published.
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Sanchez-Goni, M.F., Bakker, P., Desprat, S., Carlson, A.E., Van Meerbeeck, C., Peyron, O., Naughton, F., Fletcher, W.J., Eynaud, F., Rossignol, L., and Renssen, H. (2012). European climate optimum and enhanced Greenland melt during the Last Interglacial. Geology, v. 40, p. 627-630, published.
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Clark P. U., Shakun J. D., Baker P. A., Bartlein P. J., Brewer S., Brook E. J., Carlson A. E., Cheng H., Kaufman D. S., Liu Z., Marchitto T. M., Mix A. C., Morrill C., Otto-Bliesner B. L., Pahnke K., Russell J. M., Whitlock C., Adkins J. F., Blois J. L., Clark J., Colman S. M., Curry W. B., Flower B. P., He F., Johnson T. C., Lynch-Stieglitz J., Markgraf V., McManus J. F., Mitrovica J. X., Moreno P. I., and Williams J. W. (2012). Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109: E1134-E1142, published.
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Carlson, A.E., Ullman, D.J., Anslow, F.S., He, F., Clark, P.U., Liu, Z., and Otto-Bliesner, B.L. (2012). Modeling the Surface Mass Balance Response of the Laurentide Ice Sheet to Bølling warming and Its Contribution to Meltwater Pulse 1A. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, v. 315-316, p. 24-29 published.
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Veloz, S., J. Williams, D. Vimont, S. Vavrus, D. Lorenz, and M. Notaro (2012). Identifying climatic analogs for Wisconsin under 21st-century climate-change scenarios. Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0261-z.
Ma, D., M. Notaro, Z. Liu, G. Chen, Y. Liu, and S. Lu (2012). Simulated impacts of afforestation in East China monsoon region as modulated by ocean variability. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1592-9.
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Blois J. L., Williams J. W., Fitzpatrick M. C., Ferrier S., Veloz S., He F., Liu Z., Manion G., and Otto-Bliesner B. (2012). Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum. Ecography, 36, 460-473. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07852.x, published.